FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

1.31 – 102.97

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 31.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 138 ±13.3

10656RataToaster

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX -9.47Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5498The Wired Devils

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 6.14Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 4.64Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 344.5 ±11.2

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 76.35Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5263Robo-Bucs

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX -1.79Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

245Adambots

Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 28.41Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10656, 5498, 9735

/ 100 compat

Projected

1.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10656, 5498, 9735

Auto

9.7 100%

Teleop

-13.9 0%

Endgame

8.6 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1188, 5263, 245

/ 100 compat

Projected

103 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1188, 5263, 245

Auto

22.4 21%

Teleop

53.4 51%

Endgame

28.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.87 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score1.3pts

Blue projected score103pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -101.7
Score range: -21–125
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 167 vs event baseline 120.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

138Season APEX344.5

9.7Auto22.4

-13.9Teleop53.4

8.6Endgame28.4

210Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	24
teleop	20	74
endgame	17	22
foul	0	0
total	47	120

Result

Final score

47 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 31.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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