FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.16 – 116.84

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

114 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 50 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 293.5 ±13.3

4405The Atoms Family

Season APEX 109.1Event APEX -14.15Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 36.4Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6618WARHBOTS

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 16.91Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 337.6 ±12.4

9204Aluminum Armada

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 18.74Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6029Railbots

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 19.31Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8373The Flying Octopi

Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 78.79Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4405, 1250, 6618

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4405, 1250, 6618

Auto

-6.5 0%

Teleop

19.4 49%

Endgame

27.1 68%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9204, 6029, 8373

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9204, 6029, 8373

Auto

7.5 7%

Teleop

71.3 65%

Endgame

30.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score39.2pts

Blue projected score116.8pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -77.7
Score range: 17–139
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 256 vs event baseline 120.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

293.5Season APEX337.6

-6.5Auto7.5

19.4Teleop71.3

27.1Endgame30.7

97Consistency101

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	33
teleop	59	64
endgame	43	45
foul	0	0
total	114	142

Result

Final score

114 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 50 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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