Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

161.4759.35

78%22%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

31428

Prediction correct · off by 91.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 533 ±10.7
Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 133.27Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 41.14Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 44.3Event APEX -12.94Rank 33Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 147.7 ±13.9
Season APEX 37.7Event APEX 21.76Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 26.36Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 11.23Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3656, 6528, 8623
84
/ 100 compat
Projected
161.5 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 3656, 6528, 8623
Auto
38.3 24%
Teleop
76.2 47%
Endgame
46.1 29%
Strengths
  • · 3656 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6190, 3098, 8832
35
/ 100 compat
Projected
59.4 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6190, 3098, 8832
Auto
8.5 14%
Teleop
43.5 73%
Endgame
7.9 13%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 0.89
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score161.5pts
Blue projected score59.4pts
Red win probability78%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
102.1
Score range
38182
Upset likelihood
22%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 342 vs event baseline 118.2.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

533Season APEX147.7
38.3Auto8.5
76.2Teleop43.5
46.1Endgame7.9
116Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto5310
teleop1979
endgame599
foul50
total31428

Result

Final score

31428

Prediction correct · off by 91.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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