FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

152.68 – 116.08

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

373 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 165.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 595.3 ±9.9

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 59.24Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 12.75Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 80.69Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 638.1 ±9.9

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 39.63Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 67.38Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 9.07Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3641, 5708, 6615

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3641, 5708, 6615

Auto

25.5 17%

Teleop

73.9 50%

Endgame

48.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1701, 4391, 5067

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1701, 4391, 5067

Auto

42.0 38%

Teleop

64.6 59%

Endgame

2.6 2%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score152.7pts

Blue projected score116.1pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36.6
Score range: 96–173
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 600 vs event baseline 111.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

595.3Season APEX638.1

25.5Auto42

73.9Teleop64.6

48.9Endgame2.6

195Consistency145

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	82
teleop	192	125
endgame	95	15
foul	5	5
total	373	227

Result

Final score

373 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 165.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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