FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

71.83 – 66.9

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

124 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 362.1 ±12.4

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 13.65Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6344Yale Jiggawattz

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 31.12Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9204Aluminum Armada

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 27.06Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.4 ±13.3

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 24.47Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9455DinoMights

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 40.78Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5498The Wired Devils

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 1.65Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6528, 6344, 9204

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6528, 6344, 9204

Auto

26.4 36%

Teleop

32.5 45%

Endgame

13.5 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4737, 9455, 5498

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4737, 9455, 5498

Auto

18.3 30%

Teleop

36.2 59%

Endgame

6.7 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score71.8pts

Blue projected score66.9pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 4.9
Score range: 47–92
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 112.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

362.1Season APEX188.4

26.4Auto18.3

32.5Teleop36.2

13.5Endgame6.7

31Consistency104

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	24
teleop	71	29
endgame	25	8
foul	0	5
total	124	66

Result

Final score

124 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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