FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

175.58 – 147.19

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

87 – 141

Prediction missed · off by 47.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 400.9 ±11.1

245Adambots

Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 70.84Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1250Gator-Bots

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 14.29Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 90.45Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373.1 ±11.7

6029Railbots

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 25.82Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 66.18Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 55.19Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 245, 1250, 5708

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 245, 1250, 5708

Auto

19.3 11%

Teleop

92.6 54%

Endgame

60.3 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6029, 6528, 6120

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6029, 6528, 6120

Auto

40.6 29%

Teleop

73.4 52%

Endgame

27.6 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score175.6pts

Blue projected score147.2pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 28.4
Score range: 120–203
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 228 vs event baseline 150.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

400.9Season APEX373.1

19.3Auto40.6

92.6Teleop73.4

60.3Endgame27.6

8Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	34
teleop	28	77
endgame	34	30
foul	0	0
total	87	141

Result

Final score

87 – 141

Prediction missed · off by 47.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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