Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 130.86
16%84%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
28 – 276
Prediction correct · off by 86.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 192 ±13.9
Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 0.48Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 27.33Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 109.1Event APEX -30.57Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 497.5 ±9.9
Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 22.81Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 24.14Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 83.91Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1528, 5263, 4405
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-2.8 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 1528, 5263, 4405
Auto
19.3 0%
Teleop
-15.4 100%
Endgame
-8.0 100%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 245, 6538, 3656
73
/ 100 compatProjected
130.9 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 245, 6538, 3656
Auto
24.0 19%
Teleop
54.9 43%
Endgame
49.4 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 2.27
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-2.8pts
Blue projected score130.9pts
Red win probability16%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -130.9
- Score range
- -20–151
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
192Season APEX497.5
19.3Auto24
-15.4Teleop54.9
-8Endgame49.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 60 |
| teleop | 7 | 149 |
| endgame | 13 | 67 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 28 | 276 |
Result
Final score
28 – 276
Prediction correct · off by 86.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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