Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
58.32 – 77.91
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
168 – 222
Prediction correct · off by 126.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 373.6 ±12.4
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX -13.78Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 26.53Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 232.4Event APEX 45.57Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 288.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 17.5Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 53Event APEX 18.44Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 41.97Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10672, 6618, 8373
37
/ 100 compatProjected
58.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 10672, 6618, 8373
Auto
-6.1 0%
Teleop
43.9 76%
Endgame
19.8 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1250, 66, 1188
51
/ 100 compatProjected
77.9 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 1250, 66, 1188
Auto
37.9 48%
Teleop
22.6 29%
Endgame
18.2 23%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score58.3pts
Blue projected score77.9pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -19.6
- Score range
- 39–97
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
373.6Season APEX288.6
-6.1Auto37.9
43.9Teleop22.6
19.8Endgame18.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 3 | 26 |
| teleop | 98 | 138 |
| endgame | 62 | 58 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 168 | 222 |
Result
Final score
168 – 222
Prediction correct · off by 126.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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