FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.74 – 124.71

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

102 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 60.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.5 ±13.3

6344Yale Jiggawattz

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 34.51Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 18.84Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7247Magical Smurfs

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 16.39Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 426 ±11.7

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 48.93Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 21.74Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 54.04Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6344, 5708, 7247

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6344, 5708, 7247

Auto

20.3 30%

Teleop

18.7 27%

Endgame

29.5 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6120, 5053, 7220

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6120, 5053, 7220

Auto

25.3 20%

Teleop

64.4 52%

Endgame

34.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.7pts

Blue projected score124.7pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55
Score range: 51–144
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 315 vs event baseline 103.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

218.5Season APEX426

20.3Auto25.3

18.7Teleop64.4

29.5Endgame34.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	54
teleop	49	138
endgame	33	21
foul	5	0
total	102	213

Result

Final score

102 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 60.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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