FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

99.39 – 36.07

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

127 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 27.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 426.9 ±12.4

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 31.63Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3098Waterford Robotics

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 28.52Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9455DinoMights

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 39.24Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 143 ±13.3

4395Dundee Vi-Borgs

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX -15.38Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 9.58Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6029Railbots

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 41.87Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1701, 3098, 9455

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1701, 3098, 9455

Auto

18.2 19%

Teleop

59.3 62%

Endgame

18.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4395, 5067, 6029

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4395, 5067, 6029

Auto

15.6 47%

Teleop

16.2 49%

Endgame

1.1 3%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score99.4pts

Blue projected score36.1pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 63.3
Score range: 18–117
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 191 vs event baseline 101.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

426.9Season APEX143

18.2Auto15.6

59.3Teleop16.2

18.4Endgame1.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	14
teleop	79	26
endgame	3	9
foul	0	15
total	127	64

Result

Final score

127 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 27.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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