FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

35.71 – 87.08

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

73 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 39.6 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 219 ±13.9

10672Trobots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX -19.4Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 12.14Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5263Robo-Bucs

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 42.97Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 404.3 ±13.5

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 21.29Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

94The TechnoJays

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 39.15Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 26.64Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10672, 5053, 5263

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10672, 5053, 5263

Auto

11.3 31%

Teleop

8.1 22%

Endgame

17.4 47%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6528, 94, 1188

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6528, 94, 1188

Auto

10.2 12%

Teleop

53.9 63%

Endgame

21.3 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score35.7pts

Blue projected score87.1pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -51.4
Score range: 17–106
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 202 vs event baseline 106.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

219Season APEX404.3

11.3Auto10.2

8.1Teleop53.9

17.4Endgame21.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	39
teleop	56	68
endgame	3	22
foul	5	0
total	73	129

Result

Final score

73 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 39.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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