FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.85 – 88.76

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

106 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 42.2 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 288 ±12.4

9455DinoMights

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 16.35Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

245Adambots

Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 29.5Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1528MTR (Monroe Trojan Robotics)

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 4Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 422.8 ±12.4

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 27.21Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 16Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 45.55Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9455, 245, 1528

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9455, 245, 1528

Auto

17.3 36%

Teleop

16.0 33%

Endgame

14.8 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1701, 66, 4737

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1701, 66, 4737

Auto

13.2 15%

Teleop

48.6 54%

Endgame

28.3 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.9pts

Blue projected score88.8pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.9
Score range: 32–107
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 223 vs event baseline 100.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

288Season APEX422.8

17.3Auto13.2

16Teleop48.6

14.8Endgame28.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	53
teleop	51	59
endgame	31	0
foul	5	5
total	106	117

Result

Final score

106 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 42.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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