FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

112.01 – 108.91

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 80

Prediction missed · off by 41 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 351.7 ±12.4

9735Electric Dragons

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX -11.51Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 95.05Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4395Dundee Vi-Borgs

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 28.47Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173.4 ±13.3

6618WARHBOTS

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 42Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 33.88Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6344Yale Jiggawattz

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 33.03Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9735, 7220, 4395

/ 100 compat

Projected

112 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9735, 7220, 4395

Auto

38.1 34%

Teleop

57.2 51%

Endgame

17.6 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6618, 5067, 6344

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6618, 5067, 6344

Auto

25.3 24%

Teleop

56.7 54%

Endgame

22.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score112pts

Blue projected score108.9pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3.1
Score range: 82–139
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 139 vs event baseline 150.2.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

351.7Season APEX173.4

38.1Auto25.3

57.2Teleop56.7

17.6Endgame22.8

13Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	9
teleop	12	45
endgame	5	26
foul	0	0
total	59	80

Result

Final score

59 – 80

Prediction missed · off by 41 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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