FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Final · Finals 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

251.72 – 235.17

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

328 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 40.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 592.9 ±9.9

6538Linc-Bots

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 31.37Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 117.01Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 103.34Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 468.6 ±10.5

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 33.49Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 99.86Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 101.82Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6538, 4391, 6615

/ 100 compat

Projected

251.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6538, 4391, 6615

Auto

60.8 25%

Teleop

135.8 55%

Endgame

51.1 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5067, 1701, 1188

/ 100 compat

Projected

235.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5067, 1701, 1188

Auto

70.6 31%

Teleop

135.6 59%

Endgame

24.2 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score251.7pts

Blue projected score235.2pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 16.6
Score range: 208–279
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 567 vs event baseline 148.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

592.9Season APEX468.6

60.8Auto70.6

135.8Teleop135.6

51.1Endgame24.2

19Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	68
teleop	161	138
endgame	80	33
foul	5	0
total	328	239

Result

Final score

328 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 40.1 pts

Match videos

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