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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

260.97235.88

58%42%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

176225

Prediction missed · off by 47.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 592.9 ±9.9
Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 34.5Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 120.11Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 106.36Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 468.6 ±10.5
Season APEX 52Event APEX 34.19Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 99.75Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 101.94Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6538, 4391, 6615
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
261 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6538, 4391, 6615
Auto
60.3 23%
Teleop
144.5 56%
Endgame
51.8 20%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5067, 1701, 1188
78
/ 100 compat
Projected
235.9 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 5067, 1701, 1188
Auto
70.7 31%
Teleop
136.3 59%
Endgame
23.6 10%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score261pts
Blue projected score235.9pts
Red win probability58%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
25.1
Score range
209288
Upset likelihood
42%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 401 vs event baseline 148.2.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

592.9Season APEX468.6
60.3Auto70.7
144.5Teleop136.3
51.8Endgame23.6
15Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6570
teleop65126
endgame4629
foul00
total176225

Result

Final score

176225

Prediction missed · off by 47.9 pts

Match videos

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