Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
260.97 – 235.88
58%42%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
176 – 225
Prediction missed · off by 47.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 592.9 ±9.9
Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 34.5Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 120.11Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 106.36Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 468.6 ±10.5
Season APEX 52Event APEX 34.19Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 99.75Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 101.94Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6538, 4391, 6615
82
/ 100 compatProjected
261 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6538, 4391, 6615
Auto
60.3 23%
Teleop
144.5 56%
Endgame
51.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5067, 1701, 1188
78
/ 100 compatProjected
235.9 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 5067, 1701, 1188
Auto
70.7 31%
Teleop
136.3 59%
Endgame
23.6 10%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score261pts
Blue projected score235.9pts
Red win probability58%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 25.1
- Score range
- 209–288
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
592.9Season APEX468.6
60.3Auto70.7
144.5Teleop136.3
51.8Endgame23.6
15Consistency31
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 65 | 70 |
| teleop | 65 | 126 |
| endgame | 46 | 29 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 176 | 225 |
Result
Final score
176 – 225
Prediction missed · off by 47.9 pts
Match videos
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