FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

257.38 – 234.84

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

287 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 20.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 592.9 ±9.9

6538Linc-Bots

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 33.28Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 118.92Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 105.18Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 468.6 ±10.5

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 33.65Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 99.55Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 101.64Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6538, 4391, 6615

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6538, 4391, 6615

Auto

56.7 22%

Teleop

143.6 57%

Endgame

53.4 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5067, 1701, 1188

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5067, 1701, 1188

Auto

68.7 30%

Teleop

137.2 60%

Endgame

23.1 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score257.4pts

Blue projected score234.8pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 22.5
Score range: 209–283
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 533 vs event baseline 146.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

592.9Season APEX468.6

56.7Auto68.7

143.6Teleop137.2

53.4Endgame23.1

13Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	89
teleop	150	129
endgame	40	28
foul	10	0
total	287	246

Result

Final score

287 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 20.4 pts

Match videos

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