FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

400.85 – 233.51

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

380 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 65.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 491 ±10

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 213.26Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5675WiredCats

Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 158.41Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9776Gator Gears

Season APEX 69.3Event APEX 29.18Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 364.6 ±11.1

7211Hollywood

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 80.92Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5248Robo-Saxons

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 42.8Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

54622Paw Robotics

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 109.79Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6002, 5675, 9776

/ 100 compat

Projected

400.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 5675, 9776

Auto

87.9 22%

Teleop

208.4 53%

Endgame

100.2 25%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7211, 5248, 5462

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7211, 5248, 5462

Auto

38.5 17%

Teleop

127.7 55%

Endgame

65.5 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score400.8pts

Blue projected score233.5pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 167.3
Score range: 203–432
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 504 vs event baseline 170.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

491Season APEX364.6

87.9Auto38.5

208.4Teleop127.7

100.2Endgame65.5

6Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	94	34
teleop	212	68
endgame	74	17
foul	0	5
total	380	124

Result

Final score

380 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 65.2 pts

Match videos

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