FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

489.09 – 220.99

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

410 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 48.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 562 ±10.7

11511CRTechnic

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 25.58Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 242.31Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 221.2Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 299.6 ±11

5152Alotobots

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 109.66Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10654Tiger Bytes

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 28.62Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9215T-Town Tech

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 82.71Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11511, 2767, 4237

/ 100 compat

Projected

489.1 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11511, 2767, 4237

Auto

103.0 21%

Teleop

271.4 56%

Endgame

112.8 23%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5152, 10654, 9215

/ 100 compat

Projected

221 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5152, 10654, 9215

Auto

41.3 19%

Teleop

116.9 54%

Endgame

58.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.66 · Blue 0.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score489.1pts

Blue projected score221pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 268.1
Score range: 191–519
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 649 vs event baseline 169.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

562Season APEX299.6

103Auto41.3

271.4Teleop116.9

112.8Endgame58.6

0Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	54
teleop	249	122
endgame	93	63
foul	5	0
total	410	239

Result

Final score

410 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 48.5 pts

Match videos

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