FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

409.58 – 142.75

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

380 – 232

Prediction correct · off by 59.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 491 ±10

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 215.4Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5675WiredCats

Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 161.71Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9776Gator Gears

Season APEX 69.3Event APEX 32.47Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.7 ±12.2

5150Hybrid Hornets

Season APEX 76.5Event APEX 44.98Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11496Jurassic JayHawks

Season APEX 71.6Event APEX 17.81Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8126Control Freaks

Season APEX 91.6Event APEX 79.96Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6002, 5675, 9776

/ 100 compat

Projected

409.6 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 5675, 9776

Auto

89.3 22%

Teleop

212.1 52%

Endgame

105.6 26%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5150, 11496, 8126

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5150, 11496, 8126

Auto

18.6 13%

Teleop

83.0 60%

Endgame

36.9 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score409.6pts

Blue projected score142.8pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 266.8
Score range: 113–440
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 612 vs event baseline 167.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

491Season APEX239.7

89.3Auto18.6

212.1Teleop83

105.6Endgame36.9

11Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	31
teleop	204	149
endgame	82	47
foul	10	5
total	380	232

Result

Final score

380 – 232

Prediction correct · off by 59.4 pts

Match videos

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