Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
472.65 – 122.81
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
456 – 165
Prediction correct · off by 29.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 557.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 4.36Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 244.59Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 223.7Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.7 ±11.6
Season APEX 74.4Event APEX 53.53Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 64.35Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 4.93Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5538, 2767, 4237
83
/ 100 compatProjected
472.7 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5538, 2767, 4237
Auto
97.0 21%
Teleop
259.7 55%
Endgame
115.8 25%
Strengths
- · 2767 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3658, 4855, 10651
52
/ 100 compatProjected
122.8 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3658, 4855, 10651
Auto
34.4 30%
Teleop
62.8 54%
Endgame
19.4 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.55 · Blue 0.59
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score472.7pts
Blue projected score122.8pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 349.8
- Score range
- 93–503
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
557.8Season APEX252.7
97Auto34.4
259.7Teleop62.8
115.8Endgame19.4
0Consistency44
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 130 | 60 |
| teleop | 240 | 62 |
| endgame | 86 | 43 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 456 | 165 |
Result
Final score
456 – 165
Prediction correct · off by 29.4 pts
Match videos
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