FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

387.5 – 227.39

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

315 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 45.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 491 ±10

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 209.94Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5675WiredCats

Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 153.2Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9776Gator Gears

Season APEX 69.3Event APEX 24.36Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 299.6 ±11

5152Alotobots

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 113.06Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10654Tiger Bytes

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 29.44Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9215T-Town Tech

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 84.89Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6002, 5675, 9776

/ 100 compat

Projected

387.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 5675, 9776

Auto

86.2 22%

Teleop

207.4 54%

Endgame

90.2 24%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5152, 10654, 9215

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5152, 10654, 9215

Auto

44.8 20%

Teleop

114.7 52%

Endgame

62.8 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.35 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score387.5pts

Blue projected score227.4pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 160.1
Score range: 196–419
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 561 vs event baseline 174.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

491Season APEX299.6

86.2Auto44.8

207.4Teleop114.7

90.2Endgame62.8

5Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	56
teleop	174	110
endgame	80	80
foul	0	0
total	315	246

Result

Final score

315 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 45.6 pts

Match videos

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