FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

459.64 – 397.55

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

487 – 336

Prediction correct · off by 44.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 557.8 ±9.9

5538Vikingbots

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 5.01Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 237.45Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 217.18Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 491 ±10

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 212.92Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5675WiredCats

Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 156.68Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9776Gator Gears

Season APEX 69.3Event APEX 27.95Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5538, 2767, 4237

/ 100 compat

Projected

459.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5538, 2767, 4237

Auto

98.3 21%

Teleop

253.3 55%

Endgame

107.3 23%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6002, 5675, 9776

/ 100 compat

Projected

397.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 5675, 9776

Auto

88.8 23%

Teleop

209.9 53%

Endgame

95.2 24%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.96 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score459.6pts

Blue projected score397.6pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62.1
Score range: 367–491
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 823 vs event baseline 171.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

557.8Season APEX491

98.3Auto88.8

253.3Teleop209.9

107.3Endgame95.2

4Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	98	72
teleop	281	195
endgame	98	64
foul	10	5
total	487	336

Result

Final score

487 – 336

Prediction correct · off by 44.5 pts

Match videos

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