FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

214.15 – 134.23

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

165 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 35 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 364.6 ±11.1

7211Hollywood

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 74.51Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5248Robo-Saxons

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 36.55Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

54622Paw Robotics

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 103.09Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.7 ±11.6

3658Robo - Beavers

Season APEX 74.4Event APEX 54.56Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 70.05Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10651Gear Cats

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 9.62Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7211, 5248, 5462

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7211, 5248, 5462

Auto

37.5 18%

Teleop

117.6 56%

Endgame

56.5 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3658, 4855, 10651

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3658, 4855, 10651

Auto

39.3 30%

Teleop

65.0 50%

Endgame

24.9 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score214.2pts

Blue projected score134.2pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 79.9
Score range: 103–245
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 320 vs event baseline 171.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

364.6Season APEX252.7

37.5Auto39.3

117.6Teleop65

56.5Endgame24.9

24Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	44
teleop	81	62
endgame	45	49
foul	5	0
total	165	155

Result

Final score

165 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 35 pts

Match videos

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