FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

146.77 – 258.86

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

122 – 340

Prediction correct · off by 53 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 327.7 ±11.6

3658Robo - Beavers

Season APEX 74.4Event APEX 56.71Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 41.91Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5150Hybrid Hornets

Season APEX 76.5Event APEX 48.15Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400.6 ±12.4

11407Sturgis Trojans

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 3.2Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 238.97Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4453The Red Hot Chili Bots

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX 16.69Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3658, 5577, 5150

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3658, 5577, 5150

Auto

27.0 20%

Teleop

71.7 53%

Endgame

35.7 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11407, 2767, 4453

/ 100 compat

Projected

258.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11407, 2767, 4453

Auto

63.8 25%

Teleop

123.4 48%

Endgame

71.2 28%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score146.8pts

Blue projected score258.9pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -112.1
Score range: 117–289
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 462 vs event baseline 165.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

327.7Season APEX400.6

27Auto63.8

71.7Teleop123.4

35.7Endgame71.2

0Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	78
teleop	55	178
endgame	39	84
foul	0	0
total	122	340

Result

Final score

122 – 340

Prediction correct · off by 53 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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