FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

35.78 – 67.34

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

38 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 14.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 183.1 ±13.9

7865HODAbotics

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 19.26Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11460Olivet Eaglebots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX -0.6Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 17.12Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 158.8 ±13.9

9672Colon Magi Robotics

Season APEX 28Event APEX 23.82Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4568Robot Commander

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 7.87Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11431TechnoTigers

Season APEX 74Event APEX 35.65Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7865, 11460, 9205

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7865, 11460, 9205

Auto

10.0 28%

Teleop

15.4 44%

Endgame

10.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9672, 4568, 11431

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9672, 4568, 11431

Auto

20.7 32%

Teleop

24.6 38%

Endgame

19.7 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score35.8pts

Blue projected score67.3pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.6
Score range: 6–97
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 79 vs event baseline 166.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

183.1Season APEX158.8

10Auto20.7

15.4Teleop24.6

10Endgame19.7

32Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	30
teleop	20	10
endgame	2	1
foul	0	0
total	38	41

Result

Final score

38 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 14.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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