FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

176.53 – 21.66

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

196 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 21.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.8 ±12.4

9743MV TITANS

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 53.47Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

54622Paw Robotics

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 107.89Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 15.17Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176.5 ±13.3

5538Vikingbots

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 3.75Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3234Red Arrows

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 2.86Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11496Jurassic JayHawks

Season APEX 71.6Event APEX 15.05Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9743, 5462, 9758

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9743, 5462, 9758

Auto

34.4 19%

Teleop

84.8 47%

Endgame

60.2 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5538, 3234, 11496

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5538, 3234, 11496

Auto

15.9 68%

Teleop

7.5 32%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score176.5pts

Blue projected score21.7pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 154.9
Score range: -8–207
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 242 vs event baseline 167.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

319.8Season APEX176.5

34.4Auto15.9

84.8Teleop7.5

60.2Endgame0

0Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	16
teleop	104	18
endgame	50	12
foul	0	0
total	196	46

Result

Final score

196 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 21.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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