FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

201.32 – 458.02

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

252 – 489

Prediction correct · off by 40.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 280.3 ±11.7

5227Eagle Elite

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 41.53Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8126Control Freaks

Season APEX 91.6Event APEX 77.93Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9215T-Town Tech

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 81.86Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 611.8 ±8.8

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 213.94Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4810I AM Robot

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 21.66Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 222.42Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5227, 8126, 9215

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5227, 8126, 9215

Auto

31.0 16%

Teleop

115.7 60%

Endgame

47.4 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6002, 4810, 4237

/ 100 compat

Projected

458 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 4810, 4237

Auto

110.7 24%

Teleop

247.8 54%

Endgame

99.3 22%

Strengths

· 4237 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score201.3pts

Blue projected score458pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -256.7
Score range: 171–488
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 741 vs event baseline 164.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

280.3Season APEX611.8

31Auto110.7

115.7Teleop247.8

47.4Endgame99.3

25Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	95
teleop	119	260
endgame	90	119
foul	5	15
total	252	489

Result

Final score

252 – 489

Prediction correct · off by 40.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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