FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

107.78 – 136.07

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

170 – 73

Prediction missed · off by 62.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 225.6 ±12.2

1502Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 74.36Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10654Tiger Bytes

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 25.03Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11423Team IIA

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 8.39Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.6 ±13.3

7211Hollywood

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 86.84Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6556Spartan Robotics 6556

Season APEX 35Event APEX 28.63Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9703Q_Bots

Season APEX 56Event APEX 20.6Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1502, 10654, 11423

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1502, 10654, 11423

Auto

20.5 19%

Teleop

56.3 53%

Endgame

29.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7211, 6556, 9703

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7211, 6556, 9703

Auto

18.7 14%

Teleop

72.7 54%

Endgame

43.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score107.8pts

Blue projected score136.1pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28.3
Score range: 78–166
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 243 vs event baseline 165.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

225.6Season APEX199.6

20.5Auto18.7

56.3Teleop72.7

29.1Endgame43.9

12Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	15
teleop	101	38
endgame	49	20
foul	15	0
total	170	73

Result

Final score

170 – 73

Prediction missed · off by 62.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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