FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

103.91 – 185.12

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

148 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 220.8 ±12.7

5150Hybrid Hornets

Season APEX 76.5Event APEX 44.48Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 28.45Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9776Gator Gears

Season APEX 69.3Event APEX 30.98Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 278.6 ±12.8

11460Olivet Eaglebots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX -0.57Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11511CRTechnic

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 25.83Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5675WiredCats

Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 159.86Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5150, 6588, 9776

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5150, 6588, 9776

Auto

18.2 18%

Teleop

43.3 42%

Endgame

40.7 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11460, 11511, 5675

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11460, 11511, 5675

Auto

33.1 18%

Teleop

105.9 57%

Endgame

46.1 25%

Strengths

· 5675 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103.9pts

Blue projected score185.1pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -81.2
Score range: 74–215
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 352 vs event baseline 165.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

220.8Season APEX278.6

18.2Auto33.1

43.3Teleop105.9

40.7Endgame46.1

0Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	42
teleop	78	87
endgame	49	75
foul	5	0
total	148	204

Result

Final score

148 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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