FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

239.64 – 295.37

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

272 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 21.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 374.8 ±12

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 211.04Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4453The Red Hot Chili Bots

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX 14.26Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 14.34Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 371.3 ±11.7

11496Jurassic JayHawks

Season APEX 71.6Event APEX 16.44Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 222.02Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3658Robo - Beavers

Season APEX 74.4Event APEX 56.91Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6002, 4453, 9758

/ 100 compat

Projected

239.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 4453, 9758

Auto

61.0 25%

Teleop

120.3 50%

Endgame

61.5 25%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11496, 4237, 3658

/ 100 compat

Projected

295.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11496, 4237, 3658

Auto

69.3 24%

Teleop

162.7 57%

Endgame

52.0 18%

Strengths

· 4237 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score239.6pts

Blue projected score295.4pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.7
Score range: 211–324
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 578 vs event baseline 163.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

374.8Season APEX371.3

61Auto69.3

120.3Teleop162.7

61.5Endgame52

27Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	82
teleop	105	157
endgame	86	62
foul	10	5
total	272	306

Result

Final score

272 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 21.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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