FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

52.15 – 55.55

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

73 – 36

Prediction missed · off by 20.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191 ±12.7

10651Gear Cats

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX -0.23Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9776Gator Gears

Season APEX 69.3Event APEX 28.7Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11511CRTechnic

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 23.68Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141.1 ±13.3

9703Q_Bots

Season APEX 56Event APEX 22.7Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9672Colon Magi Robotics

Season APEX 28Event APEX 25.82Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5538Vikingbots

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 7.03Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10651, 9776, 11511

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10651, 9776, 11511

Auto

14.2 25%

Teleop

20.9 37%

Endgame

20.8 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9703, 9672, 5538

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9703, 9672, 5538

Auto

13.6 26%

Teleop

18.8 36%

Endgame

19.4 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score52.2pts

Blue projected score55.6pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3.4
Score range: 22–86
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 109 vs event baseline 165.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191Season APEX141.1

14.2Auto13.6

20.9Teleop18.8

20.8Endgame19.4

10Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	16
teleop	23	11
endgame	9	9
foul	15	0
total	73	36

Result

Final score

73 – 36

Prediction missed · off by 20.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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