FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

211.01 – 88.01

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

248 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 39 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 290.8 ±12.8

5675WiredCats

Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 156.07Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 14.89Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5227Eagle Elite

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 40.05Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.6 ±12.8

1502Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 70.26Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3234Red Arrows

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 0.5Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7865HODAbotics

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 17.25Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5675, 9205, 5227

/ 100 compat

Projected

211 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5675, 9205, 5227

Auto

42.3 20%

Teleop

108.6 52%

Endgame

57.4 28%

Strengths

· 5675 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1502, 3234, 7865

/ 100 compat

Projected

88 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1502, 3234, 7865

Auto

19.4 23%

Teleop

55.5 65%

Endgame

10.3 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score211pts

Blue projected score88pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 123
Score range: 58–241
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 377 vs event baseline 164.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

290.8Season APEX213.6

42.3Auto19.4

108.6Teleop55.5

57.4Endgame10.3

43Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	16
teleop	154	80
endgame	36	33
foul	5	0
total	248	129

Result

Final score

248 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 39 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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