FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

124.42 – 106.41

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86 – 149

Prediction missed · off by 40.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 196.9 ±13.9

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 33.7Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9743MV TITANS

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 58.71Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6556Spartan Robotics 6556

Season APEX 35Event APEX 32.01Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.4 ±12.7

5248Robo-Saxons

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 41.95Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3658Robo - Beavers

Season APEX 74.4Event APEX 52.16Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9239Panthers robotics

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 12.3Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6588, 9743, 6556

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6588, 9743, 6556

Auto

20.4 16%

Teleop

66.3 53%

Endgame

38.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5248, 3658, 9239

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5248, 3658, 9239

Auto

33.2 33%

Teleop

54.1 54%

Endgame

12.5 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score124.4pts

Blue projected score106.4pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18
Score range: 76–154
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 235 vs event baseline 164.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

196.9Season APEX209.4

20.4Auto33.2

66.3Teleop54.1

38.1Endgame12.5

2Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	38
teleop	35	59
endgame	36	7
foul	0	45
total	86	149

Result

Final score

86 – 149

Prediction missed · off by 40.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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