FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

104.69 – 351.62

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

160 – 354

Prediction correct · off by 28.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.8 ±12.8

4453The Red Hot Chili Bots

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX 6.97Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9672Colon Magi Robotics

Season APEX 28Event APEX 20.54Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9215T-Town Tech

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 77.18Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 448.4 ±10.8

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 210.24Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5152Alotobots

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 116.19Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11511CRTechnic

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 25.19Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4453, 9672, 9215

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.7 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4453, 9672, 9215

Auto

20.1 21%

Teleop

55.0 57%

Endgame

21.7 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6002, 5152, 11511

/ 100 compat

Projected

351.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 5152, 11511

Auto

78.3 22%

Teleop

183.9 52%

Endgame

90.3 26%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.63 · Blue 2.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score104.7pts

Blue projected score351.6pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -246.9
Score range: 76–381
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 514 vs event baseline 163.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.8Season APEX448.4

20.1Auto78.3

55Teleop183.9

21.7Endgame90.3

54Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	91
teleop	85	201
endgame	42	57
foul	0	5
total	160	354

Result

Final score

160 – 354

Prediction correct · off by 28.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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