Qualification · Qualification 62
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
174.02 – 84.5
75%25%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
187 – 140
Prediction correct · off by 34.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 239.2 ±12.8
Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -0.25Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 37Event APEX 17.11Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 157.16Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200.9 ±12.8
Season APEX 91.6Event APEX 73.22Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 2.62Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 8.66Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3234, 9758, 5675
64
/ 100 compatProjected
174 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3234, 9758, 5675
Auto
29.6 17%
Teleop
96.9 55%
Endgame
50.5 29%
Strengths
- · 5675 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8126, 4568, 11423
39
/ 100 compatProjected
84.5 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8126, 4568, 11423
Auto
8.8 11%
Teleop
44.2 57%
Endgame
25.2 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score174pts
Blue projected score84.5pts
Red win probability75%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 89.5
- Score range
- 56–203
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
239.2Season APEX200.9
29.6Auto8.8
96.9Teleop44.2
50.5Endgame25.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 46 | 24 |
| teleop | 102 | 67 |
| endgame | 39 | 49 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 187 | 140 |
Result
Final score
187 – 140
Prediction correct · off by 34.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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