FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

359.04 – 140.14

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

406 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 34.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 458 ±11.7

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 233.53Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11431TechnoTigers

Season APEX 74Event APEX 37.4Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7211Hollywood

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 88.11Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 315.7 ±11.7

5227Eagle Elite

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 37.98Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10651Gear Cats

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 1.29Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

54622Paw Robotics

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 100.87Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2767, 11431, 7211

/ 100 compat

Projected

359 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2767, 11431, 7211

Auto

64.0 18%

Teleop

190.0 53%

Endgame

105.0 29%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5227, 10651, 5462

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5227, 10651, 5462

Auto

38.2 27%

Teleop

69.0 49%

Endgame

32.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score359pts

Blue projected score140.1pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 218.9
Score range: 111–388
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 569 vs event baseline 160.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

458Season APEX315.7

64Auto38.2

190Teleop69

105Endgame32.9

9Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	34
teleop	208	62
endgame	136	67
foul	0	0
total	406	163

Result

Final score

406 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 34.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.