FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.1 – 133.07

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

79 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 18 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.4 ±12.7

10654Tiger Bytes

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 23.35Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9776Gator Gears

Season APEX 69.3Event APEX 29.77Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11496Jurassic JayHawks

Season APEX 71.6Event APEX 18.98Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 371.7 ±11.7

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 46.22Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 19.07Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 67.78Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10654, 9776, 11496

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10654, 9776, 11496

Auto

27.8 39%

Teleop

23.3 33%

Endgame

19.9 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5577, 9205, 4855

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5577, 9205, 4855

Auto

24.6 19%

Teleop

74.5 57%

Endgame

31.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.1pts

Blue projected score133.1pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -61
Score range: 43–162
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 183 vs event baseline 161.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191.4Season APEX371.7

27.8Auto24.6

23.3Teleop74.5

19.9Endgame31.6

29Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	32
teleop	23	48
endgame	29	24
foul	0	0
total	79	104

Result

Final score

79 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 18 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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