FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

315.7 – 113.73

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

197 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 76.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 450.1 ±11.2

4568Robot Commander

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 5.54Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 70.53Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 239.63Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 263.4 ±12.2

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 19.52Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5538Vikingbots

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 8.47Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9215T-Town Tech

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 85.74Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4568, 4855, 2767

/ 100 compat

Projected

315.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4568, 4855, 2767

Auto

68.0 22%

Teleop

173.9 55%

Endgame

74.2 23%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9205, 5538, 9215

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.7 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9205, 5538, 9215

Auto

23.3 21%

Teleop

60.9 55%

Endgame

27.0 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score315.7pts

Blue projected score113.7pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 202
Score range: 81–349
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 180.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

450.1Season APEX263.4

68Auto23.3

173.9Teleop60.9

74.2Endgame27

56Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	7
teleop	101	38
endgame	47	29
foul	5	5
total	197	79

Result

Final score

197 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 76.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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