FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.81 – 108.25

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

77 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 13.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.5 ±13.3

4453The Red Hot Chili Bots

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX 9.61Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9743MV TITANS

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 60.97Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5538Vikingbots

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 9.23Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.4 ±11.7

9215T-Town Tech

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 80.25Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4810I AM Robot

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 22.78Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11460Olivet Eaglebots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 5.22Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4453, 9743, 5538

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4453, 9743, 5538

Auto

14.8 18%

Teleop

31.4 39%

Endgame

35.1 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9215, 4810, 11460

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9215, 4810, 11460

Auto

18.1 18%

Teleop

56.1 54%

Endgame

29.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score79.8pts

Blue projected score108.3pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28.4
Score range: 51–137
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 163.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

214.5Season APEX311.4

14.8Auto18.1

31.4Teleop56.1

35.1Endgame29

23Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	29
teleop	39	42
endgame	24	13
foul	0	0
total	77	84

Result

Final score

77 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 13.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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