FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.48 – 251.52

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 357

Prediction correct · off by 70 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.7 ±13.9

9672Colon Magi Robotics

Season APEX 28Event APEX 27.78Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 39.93Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11407Sturgis Trojans

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 7.77Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 406.7 ±10.8

3234Red Arrows

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -10.33Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8126Control Freaks

Season APEX 91.6Event APEX 60.45Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 201.4Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9672, 6588, 11407

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9672, 6588, 11407

Auto

22.9 32%

Teleop

28.4 40%

Endgame

19.6 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3234, 8126, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

251.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3234, 8126, 6002

Auto

56.2 23%

Teleop

121.7 49%

Endgame

69.8 28%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.5pts

Blue projected score251.5pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -176
Score range: 46–281
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 398 vs event baseline 162.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

157.7Season APEX406.7

22.9Auto56.2

28.4Teleop121.7

19.6Endgame69.8

63Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	60
teleop	8	216
endgame	12	81
foul	0	0
total	41	357

Result

Final score

41 – 357

Prediction correct · off by 70 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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