FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

330.89 – 176.38

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

250 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 458.4 ±10.5

10651Gear Cats

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 10.36Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 241.74Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1502Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 78.79Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 272.5 ±12.8

5675WiredCats

Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 153.94Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7865HODAbotics

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 11.18Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9239Panthers robotics

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 11.26Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10651, 2767, 1502

/ 100 compat

Projected

330.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10651, 2767, 1502

Auto

52.2 16%

Teleop

188.4 57%

Endgame

87.7 27%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5675, 7865, 9239

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5675, 7865, 9239

Auto

36.6 21%

Teleop

104.5 59%

Endgame

36.3 20%

Strengths

· 5675 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score330.9pts

Blue projected score176.4pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 154.5
Score range: 147–360
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 446 vs event baseline 161.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

458.4Season APEX272.5

52.2Auto36.6

188.4Teleop104.5

87.7Endgame36.3

25Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	62
teleop	158	101
endgame	30	28
foul	0	5
total	250	196

Result

Final score

250 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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