FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.9 – 110.88

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

99 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 2.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.4 ±13.3

9703Q_Bots

Season APEX 56Event APEX 26.38Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3658Robo - Beavers

Season APEX 74.4Event APEX 53.55Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 14.97Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.4 ±13.3

4568Robot Commander

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 2.64Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7211Hollywood

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 88.59Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 19.65Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9703, 3658, 9758

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9703, 3658, 9758

Auto

24.0 28%

Teleop

40.3 46%

Endgame

22.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4568, 7211, 9205

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4568, 7211, 9205

Auto

15.9 14%

Teleop

69.4 63%

Endgame

25.3 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94.9pts

Blue projected score110.9pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -16
Score range: 66–140
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 211 vs event baseline 162.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

167.4Season APEX242.4

24Auto15.9

40.3Teleop69.4

22.7Endgame25.3

8Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	11
teleop	50	63
endgame	28	38
foul	0	0
total	99	112

Result

Final score

99 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 2.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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