Qualification · Qualification 52
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
203.59 – 129.33
72%28%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
304 – 60
Prediction correct · off by 84.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 340.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 144.78Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 68.31Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.8Event APEX -9.5Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 192.6 ±13.3
Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 19.68Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 74.4Event APEX 63.09Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75Event APEX 46.56Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5675, 9215, 4568
70
/ 100 compatProjected
203.6 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 5675, 9215, 4568
Auto
30.8 15%
Teleop
125.1 63%
Endgame
44.1 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7865, 3658, 6588
55
/ 100 compatProjected
129.3 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7865, 3658, 6588
Auto
26.9 23%
Teleop
64.3 54%
Endgame
27.2 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 1.05
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score203.6pts
Blue projected score129.3pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 74.3
- Score range
- 100–233
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
340.5Season APEX192.6
30.8Auto26.9
125.1Teleop64.3
44.1Endgame27.2
39Consistency27
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 63 | 27 |
| teleop | 180 | 29 |
| endgame | 61 | 4 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 304 | 60 |
Result
Final score
304 – 60
Prediction correct · off by 84.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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