FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

59.74 – 67.45

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

46 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 27.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 175.3 ±13.9

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 22.76Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 16.88Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11511CRTechnic

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 20.1Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 222.5 ±12.2

4453The Red Hot Chili Bots

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX 5.72Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8126Control Freaks

Season APEX 91.6Event APEX 55.23Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10651Gear Cats

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 6.5Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9205, 9758, 11511

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9205, 9758, 11511

Auto

12.1 19%

Teleop

32.0 50%

Endgame

20.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4453, 8126, 10651

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4453, 8126, 10651

Auto

8.6 13%

Teleop

33.3 52%

Endgame

22.5 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score59.7pts

Blue projected score67.4pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -7.7
Score range: 31–96
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 155 vs event baseline 163.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

175.3Season APEX222.5

12.1Auto8.6

32Teleop33.3

20.4Endgame22.5

0Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	6
teleop	27	54
endgame	7	49
foul	0	0
total	46	109

Result

Final score

46 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 27.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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