FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

239.2 – 458.42

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

154 – 513

Prediction correct · off by 69.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 382.7 ±12

11423Team IIA

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 17.62Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 208.07Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11460Olivet Eaglebots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 13.51Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 575.6 ±10.7

9239Panthers robotics

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 5.78Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 234.21Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 218.43Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11423, 6002, 11460

/ 100 compat

Projected

239.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11423, 6002, 11460

Auto

53.8 23%

Teleop

135.2 57%

Endgame

47.8 20%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9239, 2767, 4237

/ 100 compat

Projected

458.4 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9239, 2767, 4237

Auto

93.1 20%

Teleop

244.9 54%

Endgame

117.3 26%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score239.2pts

Blue projected score458.4pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -219.2
Score range: 210–487
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 667 vs event baseline 159.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

382.7Season APEX575.6

53.8Auto93.1

135.2Teleop244.9

47.8Endgame117.3

0Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	107
teleop	30	298
endgame	70	108
foul	0	0
total	154	513

Result

Final score

154 – 513

Prediction correct · off by 69.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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