FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

268.05 – 114.72

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

293 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 360.7 ±11.7

10651Gear Cats

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 12.33Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 221.01Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 34.71Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.1 ±12.8

9743MV TITANS

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 58.78Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11431TechnoTigers

Season APEX 74Event APEX 32.49Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4810I AM Robot

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 23.45Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10651, 4237, 6588

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10651, 4237, 6588

Auto

54.4 20%

Teleop

148.0 56%

Endgame

64.2 24%

Strengths

· 4237 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9743, 11431, 4810

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9743, 11431, 4810

Auto

27.7 24%

Teleop

49.5 43%

Endgame

38.3 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score268.1pts

Blue projected score114.7pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 153.3
Score range: 82–301
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 437 vs event baseline 180.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

360.7Season APEX280.1

54.4Auto27.7

148Teleop49.5

64.2Endgame38.3

33Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	19
teleop	167	62
endgame	69	63
foul	0	0
total	293	144

Result

Final score

293 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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