FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

250.47 – 167.15

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

311 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 59.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 393.8 ±11.7

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 228.84Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5538Vikingbots

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 6.76Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11511CRTechnic

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 14.87Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.1 ±12.8

6556Spartan Robotics 6556

Season APEX 35Event APEX 26.22Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5675WiredCats

Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 138.68Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11407Sturgis Trojans

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 2.25Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2767, 5538, 11511

/ 100 compat

Projected

250.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2767, 5538, 11511

Auto

45.9 18%

Teleop

122.5 48%

Endgame

86.1 34%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6556, 5675, 11407

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6556, 5675, 11407

Auto

29.8 17%

Teleop

104.3 60%

Endgame

40.4 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.99 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score250.5pts

Blue projected score167.2pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 83.3
Score range: 139–278
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 536 vs event baseline 158.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

393.8Season APEX244.1

45.9Auto29.8

122.5Teleop104.3

86.1Endgame40.4

62Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	55
teleop	161	108
endgame	77	57
foul	0	5
total	311	225

Result

Final score

311 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 59.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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