Qualification · Qualification 41
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
37.62 – 103.67
31%69%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
107 – 79
Prediction missed · off by 47 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 174.2 ±13.9
Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 5.17Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.6Event APEX 9.97Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 22.48Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.8 ±12.2
Season APEX 91.6Event APEX 62.17Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 8.36Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69.3Event APEX 33.14Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7865, 11496, 5227
16
/ 100 compatProjected
37.6 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7865, 11496, 5227
Auto
25.7 73%
Teleop
9.5 27%
Endgame
0.1 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8126, 9239, 9776
47
/ 100 compatProjected
103.7 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 8126, 9239, 9776
Auto
23.3 24%
Teleop
55.3 56%
Endgame
19.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score37.6pts
Blue projected score103.7pts
Red win probability31%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -66.1
- Score range
- 9–133
- Upset likelihood
- 31%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
174.2Season APEX235.8
25.7Auto23.3
9.5Teleop55.3
0.1Endgame19.5
121Consistency35
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 21 |
| teleop | 49 | 16 |
| endgame | 15 | 42 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 107 | 79 |
Result
Final score
107 – 79
Prediction missed · off by 47 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.