FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.02 – 96.52

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

84 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 15.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 152.2 ±12.7

5538Vikingbots

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 6.35Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6556Spartan Robotics 6556

Season APEX 35Event APEX 25.83Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5248Robo-Saxons

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 39.84Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.4 ±12.8

9703Q_Bots

Season APEX 56Event APEX 27.57Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 63.1Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4453The Red Hot Chili Bots

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX 5.85Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5538, 6556, 5248

/ 100 compat

Projected

72 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5538, 6556, 5248

Auto

17.6 23%

Teleop

38.7 52%

Endgame

18.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9703, 4855, 4453

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9703, 4855, 4453

Auto

28.1 29%

Teleop

41.3 43%

Endgame

27.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72pts

Blue projected score96.5pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -24.5
Score range: 43–126
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 200 vs event baseline 163.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

152.2Season APEX244.4

17.6Auto28.1

38.7Teleop41.3

18.6Endgame27.4

11Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	25
teleop	31	59
endgame	28	27
foul	0	5
total	84	116

Result

Final score

84 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 15.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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