FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

72.77 – 42.09

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

59 – 19

Prediction correct · off by 18.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.2 ±13.9

5227Eagle Elite

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 41.95Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9239Panthers robotics

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 25.7Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11460Olivet Eaglebots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 5.12Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173.1 ±13.3

9776Gator Gears

Season APEX 69.3Event APEX 17.13Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3234Red Arrows

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 8.11Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9703Q_Bots

Season APEX 56Event APEX 16.85Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5227, 9239, 11460

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5227, 9239, 11460

Auto

23.3 35%

Teleop

21.2 32%

Endgame

22.5 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9776, 3234, 9703

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9776, 3234, 9703

Auto

10.2 25%

Teleop

11.6 28%

Endgame

19.0 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.8pts

Blue projected score42.1pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 30.7
Score range: 9–106
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 78 vs event baseline 180.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

197.2Season APEX173.1

23.3Auto10.2

21.2Teleop11.6

22.5Endgame19

28Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	10
teleop	22	6
endgame	5	3
foul	15	0
total	59	19

Result

Final score

59 – 19

Prediction correct · off by 18.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.